Nutshell Sports and The Girl
Other Ratings
Copyright 1996-2017
 
I used to track the lines and rate the teams according to how the line changed from week to week. And I noticed something interesting. Just because a good team lost wasn't necessarily a reason for them to change a team's rating. That got my gears turning. A few years later I designed this system using that theory. It is based on head to head competition. There is no exaggerated margin of victory factor and there is no schedule strength. They are natural in this system.

 
NFL Ratings
pre-Super Bowl

rank team rating
1 New England 78.04
2 Atlanta 77.64
3 Green Bay 74.79
4 Arizona 74.41
5 Philadelphia 74.29
6 Kansas City 73.71
7 New Orleans 72.83
8 Carolina 72.61
9 Dallas 72.26
10 Pittsburgh 72.00
11 Seattle 71.85
12 Cincinnati 71.65
13 Tampa Bay 71.16
14 Giants 70.72
15 Indianapolis 69.36
16 Jacksonville 69.31
17 Minnesota 69.05
18 Denver 68.57
19 Washington 68.36
20 Houston 68.25
21 Baltimore 67.91
22 Tennessee 67.40
23 Oakland 67.03
24 Miami 66.62
25 San Diego 66.25
26 San Francisco 66.04
27 Cleveland 65.87
28 Detroit 64.75
29 Buffalo 64.68
30 Jets 64.03
31 Chicago 63.13
32 LA 59.25


Keep It Simple - Sports Ratings in a Nutshell