Nutshell Sports and The Girl
Other Ratings
Copyright 1996-2017
 
I used to track the lines and rate the teams according to how the line changed from week to week. And I noticed something interesting. Just because a good team lost wasn't necessarily a reason for them to change a team's rating. That got my gears turning. A few years later I designed this system using that theory. It is based on head to head competition. There is no exaggerated margin of victory factor and there is no schedule strength. They are natural in this system.

 
NFL Ratings
2016 Final

rank team rating
1 New England 119.70
2 Atlanta 116.67
3 Green Bay 112.04
6 Kansas City 110.46
5 Philadelphia 110.10
4 Arizona 109.13
8 Carolina 108.86
7 New Orleans 108.59
9 Dallas 108.51
10 Pittsburgh 108.25
11 Seattle 108.10
13 Tampa Bay 107.68
12 Cincinnati 106.91
14 Giants 106.73
17 Minnesota 103.80
15 Indianapolis 103.38
21 Baltimore 103.21
19 Washington 103.12
18 Denver 102.57
22 Tennessee 102.45
16 Jacksonville 102.39
23 Oakland 102.09
20 Houston 101.76
25 San Diego 100.01
24 Miami 99.88
26 San Francisco 99.04
29 Buffalo 98.76
28 Detroit 98.29
27 Cleveland 97.21
31 Chicago 96.20
30 Jets 95.79
32 LA 90.87


Keep It Simple - Sports Ratings in a Nutshell