Nutshell Sports and The Girl
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Nutshell Sports NCAA Football Ratings
Welcome to my fantasy.

I used to track the lines and rate the teams according to how the line changed from week to week. And I noticed something interesting. Just because a good team lost wasn't necessarily a reason for them to change a team's rating. That got my gears turning. A few years later I designed this system using that theory. It is based on head to head competition. There is no exaggerated margin of victory factor and there is no schedule strength. They are natural in this system. (Original Middle Game Ratings HERE.)

I'm unveiling the new Nutshell Sports for the bowls and playoffs. The old one has quality but I have decided to combine it with the Naked Eye Ratings in a broader formula to make it more meaningful and accurate. The old version is still in this formula. Nutshell Sports will be a combination of MOV and W/L while the Naked Eye is only W/L.

Here's what I posted before the bowls. Unfortunately I was right. TCU gets screwed because of big bucks.

"By the way, sorry, Florida State. I watched Notre Dame go undefeated a few years ago and get manhandled in the championship game. If you somehow win the next two games, I will be the first to congratulate you." Wow, looks as if I was correct. They got clobbered by the team that got clobbered by the winner.

Final Rating 2014

rankteamrating
1Ohio State99.12
2Oregon94.44
3TCU94.22
4Alabama92.07
5Missouri87.72
6Georgia Tech86.71
7Michigan State86.33
8Baylor85.34
9Stanford85.12
10Arkansas85.09
11Florida State84.88
12Wisconsin82.82
13Marshall82.44
14Georgia82.21
15Boise State81.31
16Mississippi79.86
17Oklahoma State79.73
18UCLA79.67
19USC79.60
20Mississippi State79.46
21Memphis79.24
22Minnesota78.99
23W. Kentucky78.83
24NC State78.34
25Arizona77.79
26Texas77.77
27Kansas State77.43
28Rutgers77.42
29Clemson77.38
30Arizona State77.37
31Nebraska77.35
32Air Force76.70
33LSU75.92
34App State75.80
35Tennessee75.45
36Northwestern74.94
37Louisville74.70
38Utah74.45
39Pittsburgh74.39
40C. Florida74.33
41Auburn74.30
42Washington74.23
43Texas A&M74.19
44Northern Illinois74.19
45Louisiana Tech74.16
46Illinois73.83
47Duke73.09
48Navy72.86
49Cincinnati72.66
50Virginia Tech72.41
51Houston72.14
52BYU71.99
53South Carolina71.86
54La-Lafayette71.67
55Florida71.47
56West Virginia71.21
57Toledo71.21
58Oklahoma71.20
59Maryland70.87
60San Diego State70.72
61Iowa70.67
62Rice70.16
63Michigan69.99
64W. Michigan69.69
65Utah State69.19
66Colorado State69.18
67Notre Dame69.16
68Penn State68.78
69UAB68.73
70Miami68.61
71East Carolina67.99
72Old Dominion67.67
73C. Michigan67.49
74Texas Tech67.45
75Boston College67.02
76Kansas66.73
77Fresno State66.64
78North Carolina66.45
79Temple66.19
80Washington State65.73
81Indiana65.33
82Texas State65.22
83California65.18
84Kentucky65.11
85Wake Forest64.67
86Colorado64.64
87Ohio64.45
88Ga Southern64.28
89New Mexico64.05
90South Florida63.71
91Vanderbilt63.35
92Purdue63.11
93Virginia63.10
94Nevada62.94
95Ball State62.42
96UTEP62.40
97Texas-SA62.01
98Oregon State61.92
99South Alabama61.90
100Hawaii61.60
101Buffalo61.46
102Arkansas State61.40
103North Texas60.91
104Wyoming60.07
105Iowa State59.98
106Tulsa59.92
107Troy State59.83
108La-Monroe59.35
109Tulane59.21
110Florida Int'l59.15
111Miami OH58.99
112Middle Tenn58.49
113Bowling Green58.39
114Army58.38
115Syracuse57.45
116Kent State57.30
117Southern Miss56.99
118Massachusetts56.95
119Akron55.05
120SMU54.31
121Idaho53.86
122Florida Atlantic53.54
123UNLV53.09
124San Jose State52.24
125NM State51.71
126Connecticut51.06
127E. Michigan49.98
128Georgia State48.69

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