Nutshell Sports and The Girl
Other Ratings
Copyright 1996-2018
 
I used to track the lines and rate the teams according to how the line changed from week to week. And I noticed something interesting. Just because a good team lost wasn't necessarily a reason for them to change a team's rating. That got my gears turning. A few years later I designed this system using that theory. It is based on head to head competition. There is no exaggerated margin of victory factor and there is no schedule strength. They are natural in this system. The wide spread of the margins sets a range of victory based on the victor's best performance, which is a better indicator of the outcome vs the spread though it tends to predict the actual outcome less well. The order of the teams is still the same. Thus good vs the spread, good order, not as good at predicting the exact margin of victory. Make your judgments based on that. Remember, too, that the numbers need a few weeks each season to stabilize.

14 October 2018

rankteamrating
1Alabama122.0
2Ohio State120.0
3Oklahoma109.5
4Clemson108.5
5C. Florida105.5
6Notre Dame105.5
7Texas101.0
8Georgia100.0
9Penn State99.0
10LSU98.5
11Iowa98.0
12Auburn95.0
13Mississippi State94.5
14Virginia Tech94.5
15App State94.0
16Iowa State93.0
17Stanford93.0
18TCU92.0
19Oregon91.5
20Washington90.5
21Oklahoma State89.0
22Michigan State88.0
23Wisconsin88.0
24Boise State86.5
25Michigan86.0
26Utah86.0
27Northwestern86.0
28Duke86.0
29NC State85.0
30Florida Atlantic85.0
31Kansas State85.0
32South Florida84.0
33USC82.5
34Kentucky82.0
35Purdue82.0
36Boston College82.0
37Indiana81.5
38Mississippi81.5
39Georgia Tech81.0
40Washington State80.5
41Texas A&M80.0
42Army80.0
43West Virginia80.0
44Florida State80.0
45Memphis80.0
46Texas Tech79.0
47San Diego State79.0
48Wake Forest78.5
49Missouri78.0
50Virginia78.0
51Florida77.0
52South Carolina77.0
53Fresno State77.0
54Miami76.0
55BYU75.0
56Arizona State75.0
57Temple73.5
58Colorado73.0
59Troy State73.0
60Baylor72.5
61Hawaii72.5
62Maryland72.0
63Cincinnati72.0
64Buffalo72.0
65Minnesota70.5
66Louisville70.0
67Pittsburgh70.0
68Navy69.0
69Houston69.0
70Utah State69.0
71Vanderbilt68.0
72Florida Int'l68.0
73Ga Southern68.0
74North Texas67.5
75Syracuse67.0
76Middle Tenn67.0
77Marshall65.5
78Toledo65.0
79Wyoming65.0
80UCLA65.0
81E. Michigan64.5
82Arizona64.5
83Northern Illinois64.0
84Louisiana Tech64.0
85Arkansas State64.0
86Ohio63.0
87Tulane62.5
88Kansas62.5
89W. Michigan62.0
90Air Force61.5
91Akron60.0
92SMU59.5
93Tennessee59.0
94UAB57.5
95Nebraska57.0
96Southern Miss57.0
97Miami OH56.0
98North Carolina56.0
99La-Lafayette55.0
100Texas-SA54.0
101Illinois54.0
102California53.0
103Nevada53.0
104Georgia State52.5
105La-Monroe52.0
106Tulsa52.0
107Coastal Carolina51.0
108Bowling Green48.5
109Colorado State48.5
110East Carolina48.0
111New Mexico48.0
112Connecticut48.0
113Liberty47.5
114South Alabama46.0
115Arkansas45.5
116NM State45.0
117Oregon State44.0
118Rutgers44.0
119UNLV39.5
120C. Michigan39.0
121W. Kentucky39.0
122Ball State37.0
123Massachusetts36.0
124Texas State36.0
125Old Dominion30.5
126Charlotte28.5
127Rice27.0
128UTEP25.0
129Kent State13.0
130San Jose State9.0