Nutshell Sports and The Girl
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Nutshell Sports NCAA Football Ratings
Welcome to my fantasy.

I used to track the lines and rate the teams according to how the line changed from week to week. And I noticed something interesting. Just because a good team lost wasn't necessarily a reason for them to change a team's rating. That got my gears turning. A few years later I designed this system using that theory. It is based on head to head competition. There is no exaggerated margin of victory factor and there is no schedule strength. They are natural in this system. (Original Middle Game Ratings HERE.)

I'm unveiling the new Nutshell Sports for the bowls and playoffs. The old one has quality but I have decided to combine it with the Naked Eye Ratings in a broader formula to make it more meaningful and accurate. The old version is still in this formula. Nutshell Sports will be a combination of MOV and W/L while the Naked Eye is only W/L.

Here's what I posted before the bowls. Unfortunately I was right. TCU gets screwed because of big bucks.

"By the way, sorry, Florida State. I watched Notre Dame go undefeated a few years ago and get manhandled in the championship game. If you somehow win the next two games, I will be the first to congratulate you." Wow, looks as if I was correct. They got clobbered by the team that got clobbered by the winner.

Pre-Season 2015

rankteamrating
1Ohio State93.76
2Oregon92.00
3TCU91.75
4Alabama89.77
5Georgia Tech87.84
6Arkansas87.30
7Michigan State86.50
8Mississippi State85.98
9Missouri85.52
10Baylor84.30
11Georgia84.00
12Minnesota82.12
13UCLA81.42
14Stanford81.36
15Wisconsin81.27
16Kansas State80.40
17Boise State79.80
18Mississippi79.55
19LSU79.44
20USC78.25
21Marshall77.92
22Nebraska77.72
23Louisiana Tech77.25
24Arizona State77.17
25Florida State77.07
26Texas A&M76.95
27Auburn76.89
28Arizona76.62
29Texas76.55
30Tennessee76.00
31West Virginia75.84
32W. Kentucky75.42
33Utah75.36
34Clemson75.15
35Oklahoma74.80
36Florida74.45
37C. Florida74.40
38Oklahoma State74.12
39Washington73.72
40Air Force73.40
41South Carolina73.17
42Memphis73.07
43Pittsburgh73.00
44Louisville72.92
45Northern Illinois72.65
46Miami72.59
47Penn State72.45
48Cincinnati72.37
49NC State72.34
50Virginia Tech71.94
51Iowa71.94
52Notre Dame71.80
53W. Michigan71.71
54Colorado State71.20
55Rutgers71.00
56Virginia70.90
57North Carolina70.87
58Northwestern70.80
59Utah State70.75
60Duke70.70
61App State70.60
62Maryland70.40
63California70.37
64Navy70.27
65Boston College70.17
66Rice70.00
67Michigan69.77
68East Carolina69.27
69Houston68.80
70Oregon State68.80
71San Diego State68.57
72Toledo68.54
73La-Lafayette67.40
74Colorado67.32
75Kansas67.29
76C. Michigan67.07
77Purdue66.98
78Temple66.80
79Ga Southern66.76
80Kentucky66.70
81Arkansas State66.64
82BYU66.59
83Fresno State66.17
84Washington State65.87
85Texas Tech65.84
86Illinois65.59
87Vanderbilt65.52
88UTEP65.39
89Indiana65.05
90Syracuse64.61
91South Florida64.60
92Iowa State64.57
93Nevada64.37
94Middle Tenn63.42
95Old Dominion62.93
96Florida Int'l62.48
97Texas State62.15
98Ohio61.77
99Florida Atlantic61.45
100La-Monroe61.37
101South Alabama61.37
102New Mexico61.10
103Wake Forest60.75
104Troy State60.65
105North Texas59.99
106Texas-SA59.82
107Wyoming59.67
108Tulane59.50
109Bowling Green59.26
110Massachusetts59.21
111Tulsa59.15
112Buffalo58.84
113Southern Miss58.42
114Hawaii57.97
115Ball State57.74
116Miami OH57.40
117Idaho56.47
118Army56.24
119SMU55.42
120Kent State55.24
121San Jose State55.02
122Akron54.80
123Connecticut54.41
124UNLV54.30
125NM State50.97
126Charlotte50.00
127Georgia State48.37
128E. Michigan46.50
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