Nutshell Sports and The Girl
Other Ratings
Copyright 1996-2018
 

I used to track the lines and rate the teams according to how the line changed from week to week. And I noticed something interesting. Just because a good team lost wasn't necessarily a reason for them to change a team's rating. That got my gears turning. A few years later I designed this system using that theory. It is based on head to head competition. There is no exaggerated margin of victory factor and there is no schedule strength. They are natural in this system.

The actual rating is the top end of their expected ability. It is in general about twice the margin of the line. Therefore the expected range of the final outcome is 50-100% of the posted margin.

NCAA Football
11 November 2018

rankteamrating
1Alabama122.0
2Oklahoma109.5
3Clemson108.5
4C. Florida105.5
5Notre Dame105.5
6Georgia103.0
7LSU102.0
8Ohio State98.0
9Texas94.5
10Northwestern94.0
11Iowa93.5
12Auburn93.5
13Iowa State93.0
14Mississippi State93.0
15Michigan91.5
16Penn State91.5
17Georgia Tech90.0
18West Virginia89.0
19Oklahoma State89.0
20Washington89.0
21Stanford87.0
22TCU87.0
23Boise State86.5
24Utah86.0
25Missouri86.0
26Boston College85.5
27Kansas State85.0
28Washington State84.5
29Michigan State84.0
30App State83.0
31Purdue82.0
32Texas A&M82.0
33Syracuse82.0
34Arizona State81.0
35Pittsburgh81.0
36Army80.0
37Fresno State80.0
38Florida State80.0
39Oregon79.5
40Wisconsin79.0
41Texas Tech79.0
42NC State79.0
43Virginia78.0
44Wake Forest77.5
45Florida77.0
46South Carolina77.0
47Indiana77.0
48Virginia Tech77.0
49Kentucky76.5
50Temple76.0
51Florida Atlantic75.5
52Duke75.5
53USC75.0
54Miami75.0
55Northern Illinois75.0
56Mississippi74.5
57Troy State74.0
58Arizona73.0
59Baylor72.5
60Memphis72.0
61Maryland72.0
62Cincinnati72.0
63Buffalo72.0
64Colorado71.0
65Utah State70.5
66Minnesota70.5
67Houston70.0
68Kansas70.0
69BYU69.5
70California69.5
71UAB69.5
72Vanderbilt68.0
73Louisiana Tech68.0
74San Diego State68.0
75Florida Int'l68.0
76Ga Southern67.0
77Middle Tenn67.0
78Louisville66.0
79South Florida66.0
80E. Michigan66.0
81SMU66.0
82Marshall65.5
83Navy65.5
84Toledo65.0
85Wyoming65.0
86Nebraska65.0
87Nevada65.0
88Ohio65.0
89UCLA65.0
90Arkansas State64.0
91North Texas63.5
92Tulane62.5
93Hawaii62.0
94Air Force61.5
95Tennessee61.0
96La-Lafayette61.0
97La-Monroe60.0
98Tulsa57.5
99Akron57.0
100Southern Miss57.0
101Miami OH56.0
102Illinois56.0
103North Carolina56.0
104W. Michigan52.0
105Coastal Carolina51.0
106Texas-SA50.0
107East Carolina48.0
108New Mexico48.0
109Bowling Green48.0
110Georgia State47.0
111South Alabama45.5
112Arkansas45.5
113Liberty45.0
114Connecticut45.0
115Oregon State44.0
116Rutgers44.0
117Texas State44.0
118Colorado State43.0
119NM State40.0
120UNLV39.5
121C. Michigan39.0
122Massachusetts38.0
123Old Dominion37.5
124Ball State37.0
125W. Kentucky34.5
126Charlotte30.0
127UTEP28.0
128San Jose State27.0
129Rice24.0
130Kent State23.0