Nutshell Sports NCAA Football Ratings

NCAA Football 1872-1886 so far.

note: I will gradually add all seasons. Enjoy the suspense.
Once I finish NCAA Football I will start working on NFL.
I will concentrate on only these two sports until I
complete their histories.

Current Odds

The teams are arranged by their predictive ratings.
All ratings only include games played by teams in the top level.

On Todd's page I am listed as: NSP (formerly NSR)

Something eerie is going on. In 15 of 34 bowls the line
is within two points of my ratings. With games that close I don't know
what's going to happen. After the first two games I'm 2-0 but who knows
how it's going to come out. In fact, the median game was only 2.265 points
different from my prediction and the average is less than four. This
season's bowls will be a real challenge.

Update: I still beat 50%.

For more weird things, check the NFL Ratings page.

Ratings

Updated 01/10/2010

I have added a major factor to all my ratings. The bowls will
still reflect the old setup but the final ratings for college,
the NFL playoffs, and the rest of the NBA season will use the
improved algorithm.

Bowl Report Card

This will be updated later.

Which teams have played the best bowl games? Here is how I award the teams by
their season ratings and how much better or worse they played than expected.
Basketball has its final 64. This will be football's 68.

So far, this year's champion is BYU. Let's just say that teams with a rating
lower than C- should not have been in a bowl. And the F's? Flops. Some teams
should really not have been in bowls - for example, SMU. But the way they
played certainly redeemed them.

1	Florida	A+
2	Alabama	A+
3	Nebraska	A
4	Ohio State	B+
5	BYU	B+
6	Boise State	B+
7	Virginia Tech	B+
8	Mississippi	B+
9	Oklahoma	B
10	Georgia	B
11	USC	B-
12	Iowa	B-
13	TCU	B-
14	Texas	B-
15	Utah	B-
16	Stanford	B-
17	Air Force	B-
18	Navy	B-
19	Oregon	B-
20	Texas Tech	B-
21	Penn State	B-
22	LSU	C+
23	SMU	C+
24	Florida State	C+
25	Connecticut	C
26	Clemson	C
27	Rutgers	C
28	Pittsburgh	C
29	South Florida	C
30	Wisconsin	C
31	Oklahoma State	C-
32	Arkansas	C-
33	Georgia Tech	C-
34	Cincinnati	C-
35	North Carolina	C-
36	Boston College	C-
37	California	C-
38	Michigan State	C-
39	East Carolina	C-
40	Kentucky	D+
41	Miami	D+
42	Middle Tenn	D+
43	Auburn	D+
44	UCLA	D+
45	C. Michigan	D
46	West Virginia	D
47	Oregon State	D
48	Tennessee	D
49	Northwestern	D
50	South Carolina	D-
51	Troy State	D-
52	Iowa State	D-
53	Minnesota	D-
54	Arizona	D-
55	Wyoming	D-
56	Texas A&M	D-
57	Missouri	F
58	Marshall	F
59	Temple	F
60	Southern Miss	F
61	Ohio	F
62	C. Florida	F
63	Idaho	F
64	Houston	F
65	Fresno State	F
66	Bowling Green	F
67	Northern Illinois	F
68	Nevada	F

***

We have NFL memorabilia and collectables.

***

Better or Worse?

Did your team get better this season? Or worse?
This chart shows the increase or decrease in your
team's rating. Here's your future.