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Nutshell Sports NCAA Football Ratings
NCAA Football 1872-1886 so far.
Current Odds
The teams are arranged by their predictive ratings.
All ratings only include games played by teams in the top level.
On Todd's page I am listed as: NSP (formerly NSR)
Ratings
Updated 08/07/2010
1 Alabama 137.57
2 Texas 133.46
3 TCU 132.86
4 Florida 130.48
5 Stanford 129.98
6 Ohio State 129.07
7 Virginia Tech 128.82
8 Arkansas 128.64
9 Oklahoma 128.11
10 Texas Tech 127.63
11 Nebraska 127.25
12 Oregon 126.34
13 Boise State 125.19
14 LSU 124.57
15 BYU 123.80
16 Penn State 123.45
17 Air Force 123.45
18 Georgia Tech 123.24
19 Mississippi State 122.92
20 Mississippi 122.08
21 Wisconsin 121.65
22 Georgia 121.10
23 Pittsburgh 120.39
24 Oregon State 120.38
25 Oklahoma State 119.61
26 Washington 119.47
27 Clemson 119.05
28 Connecticut 118.65
29 Cincinnati 118.57
30 Miami 118.48
31 North Carolina 117.83
32 Iowa 117.79
33 Arizona 115.99
34 East Carolina 115.98
35 Tennessee 115.58
36 Utah 115.53
37 USC 115.42
38 Rutgers 114.89
39 Auburn 114.87
40 Kentucky 114.60
41 Michigan State 113.92
42 Notre Dame 113.86
43 C. Michigan 113.86
44 West Virginia 113.71
45 Texas A&M 113.57
46 Kansas State 113.50
47 South Carolina 113.37
48 Nevada 113.08
49 Boston College 112.92
50 Indiana 112.31
51 Florida State 112.00
52 Houston 111.57
53 UCLA 111.47
54 Middle Tenn 111.13
55 Louisiana Tech 110.69
56 Minnesota 110.51
57 Navy 110.43
58 Colorado 110.21
59 C. Florida 109.76
60 SMU 109.65
61 Iowa State 109.41
62 Arizona State 109.33
63 Northwestern 108.46
64 Wake Forest 107.94
65 South Florida 107.85
66 Purdue 106.69
67 California 106.48
68 Missouri 106.19
69 Troy State 106.04
70 Southern Miss 105.83
71 Illinois 105.72
72 Temple 105.25
73 Kansas 104.58
74 Ohio 104.06
75 Syracuse 103.82
76 Maryland 103.21
77 Vanderbilt 103.00
78 Duke 102.72
79 Michigan 102.30
80 Baylor 102.26
81 Idaho 101.32
82 Fresno State 100.70
83 Louisville 100.61
84 NC State 99.84
85 UTEP 99.43
86 Virginia 98.86
87 Wyoming 98.40
88 Marshall 97.54
89 Northern Illinois 97.42
90 Buffalo 96.91
91 Bowling Green 95.97
92 Utah State 95.21
93 Tulsa 95.08
94 San Diego State 94.94
95 UAB 94.94
96 UNLV 93.52
97 Kent State 93.50
98 W. Michigan 92.78
99 Florida Atlantic 92.32
100 Hawaii 90.62
101 La-Monroe 90.62
102 Miami OH 90.61
103 New Mexico 90.36
104 Army 90.06
105 Toledo 89.02
106 La-Lafayette 87.82
107 Ball State 87.67
108 Memphis 87.48
109 Arkansas State 87.12
110 Colorado State 85.78
111 North Texas 85.67
112 Florida Int'l 83.94
113 W. Kentucky 83.69
114 Tulane 83.51
115 Akron 83.31
116 Washington State 82.83
117 NM State 78.96
118 San Jose State 75.86
119 E. Michigan 73.79
120 Rice 72.64
Bowl Report Card
This will be updated later.
Which teams have played the best bowl games? Here is how I award the teams by
their season ratings and how much better or worse they played than expected.
Basketball has its final 64. This will be football's 68.
So far, this year's champion is BYU. Let's just say that teams with a rating
lower than C- should not have been in a bowl. And the F's? Flops. Some teams
should really not have been in bowls - for example, SMU. But the way they
played certainly redeemed them.
1 Florida A+
2 Alabama A+
3 Nebraska A
4 Ohio State B+
5 BYU B+
6 Boise State B+
7 Virginia Tech B+
8 Mississippi B+
9 Oklahoma B
10 Georgia B
11 USC B-
12 Iowa B-
13 TCU B-
14 Texas B-
15 Utah B-
16 Stanford B-
17 Air Force B-
18 Navy B-
19 Oregon B-
20 Texas Tech B-
21 Penn State B-
22 LSU C+
23 SMU C+
24 Florida State C+
25 Connecticut C
26 Clemson C
27 Rutgers C
28 Pittsburgh C
29 South Florida C
30 Wisconsin C
31 Oklahoma State C-
32 Arkansas C-
33 Georgia Tech C-
34 Cincinnati C-
35 North Carolina C-
36 Boston College C-
37 California C-
38 Michigan State C-
39 East Carolina C-
40 Kentucky D+
41 Miami D+
42 Middle Tenn D+
43 Auburn D+
44 UCLA D+
45 C. Michigan D
46 West Virginia D
47 Oregon State D
48 Tennessee D
49 Northwestern D
50 South Carolina D-
51 Troy State D-
52 Iowa State D-
53 Minnesota D-
54 Arizona D-
55 Wyoming D-
56 Texas A&M D-
57 Missouri F
58 Marshall F
59 Temple F
60 Southern Miss F
61 Ohio F
62 C. Florida F
63 Idaho F
64 Houston F
65 Fresno State F
66 Bowling Green F
67 Northern Illinois F
68 Nevada F
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Better or Worse?
Did your team get better this season? Or worse?
This chart shows the increase or decrease in your
team's rating. Here's your future.
Washington 25.39
Indiana 23.53
Idaho 20.62
Mississippi State 19.76
Arkansas 16.97
SMU 16.86
Middle Tenn 15.70
Iowa State 13.68
Air Force 13.55
C. Michigan 13.21
Texas A&M 13.02
Stanford 11.51
C. Florida 11.46
Minnesota 11.44
North Texas 10.65
Virginia Tech 10.48
Louisiana Tech 9.46
BYU 9.42
Kansas State 9.18
Ohio 8.82
Tulane 8.82
Fresno State 8.36
Auburn 8.18
Miami 7.67
Nebraska 7.64
Wisconsin 7.45
East Carolina 7.36
Kentucky 7.29
Connecticut 6.99
Nevada 6.50
Alabama 6.47
Miami OH 5.60
Colorado 5.20
Cincinnati 4.90
North Carolina 4.87
Georgia Tech 4.73
Syracuse 4.71
Temple 4.42
LSU 4.11
San Diego State 3.93
Louisville 3.64
Tennessee 3.38
La-Monroe 2.98
UCLA 2.90
W. Kentucky 2.83
TCU 2.26
Duke 2.26
Michigan State 2.17
Wyoming 2.15
Notre Dame 2.10
Georgia 1.75
Marshall 0.95
Boston College 0.89
Houston 0.77
South Carolina 0.69
Clemson 0.66
Texas Tech 0.63
UAB 0.59
Pittsburgh 0.22
Boise State -0.31
UTEP -0.33
Kent State -0.54
NM State -0.87
Navy -1.03
Washington State -1.11
Michigan -1.58
UNLV -1.70
Army -2.18
Oregon State -2.38
West Virginia -2.45
Toledo -3.02
Northern Illinois -3.05
Ohio State -3.52
Southern Miss -3.54
South Florida -3.73
Texas -3.74
Wake Forest -3.80
Arkansas State -3.83
Florida Atlantic -3.89
Troy State -4.43
Utah State -4.50
Arizona State -4.53
Illinois -4.63
Oklahoma State -4.80
La-Lafayette -5.04
Vanderbilt -5.60
Maryland -6.04
Oregon -6.07
Northwestern -6.21
Mississippi -6.48
Buffalo -6.70
Florida Int'l -7.69
Penn State -7.73
Purdue -7.73
Akron -8.20
Virginia -8.22
W. Michigan -8.44
Memphis -8.81
Arizona -8.94
Hawaii -9.13
Iowa -9.40
Florida State -9.48
Bowling Green -10.15
San Jose State -11.07
Kansas -11.52
Rutgers -11.57
Baylor -12.75
Missouri -13.06
Utah -14.15
Colorado State -14.92
NC State -15.20
New Mexico -15.22
E. Michigan -16.65
Florida -16.83
California -17.27
Tulsa -18.23
Oklahoma -18.72
Ball State -21.04
USC -23.37
Rice -35.90
 

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