There are a lot of interesting
computer rating systems. It is
difficult to choose examples but I
do have personal favorites. Here is
a list of the ones I view most
often in no particular order:
Todd Beck - Prediction Tracker.
Need I say more?
Jay Coleman's MinV - This is
great. If only he could figure out
how to come up with only one very
best possible alignment instead of
zillions, which tells us there will
never be a perfect system based
upon such a small number of games.
In any case, he has developed a way
to line the teams up (not rate
them) to get the least possible
number of "upsets." Unfortunately,
there is not a single best
Wes Colley's ColleyMatrix - I
once came up with this great idea
and showed it to the world.
Unfortunately, Todd Beck informed
me that someone was already doing
this, so now I just go look at
Harry DeVold - This guy has
been doing football ratings since
the game began. Well, a long time,
anyway. He still does it the hard
way, too. How can you not
appreciate experience? NOTE: Harry
has probably retired due to
illness. After 63 years of rating
college teams, the incredible
series is over. Hopefully not for
good. Get well, Harry.
James Howell - How can you not
like the guy that went back into
history to gather every college
football score he could get his
hands on? All of us who have
ratings back to the beginning, or
at least the thirties, owe him much
gratitude. His ratings are great,
Edward Kambour - Dr. Kambour's
ratings are described by him as a
"Dynamic Hierarchical Bayesian
Linear Forecaster." Okay, and
they're pretty good, too.
Kenneth Massey - Okay, now this
guy rates everything, I think. Once
someone asked if I knew if anyone
rated a certain sport I didn't know
existed and I said: I'll see if I
can find out. I asked Kenneth if he
would like to try it and it's right
there on his site now. If we had to
pick a sports rating king, I vote
for him. Did I mention that he
rates everything? And the best
thing he does is the
Ranking Comparison. Cool. Okay,
Sonny Moore's Computer Power
Ratings - I've been watching
this guy's ratings for years. I
like them because they are unique.
They sort of go against the grain
and I like that. Since they are
pretty accurate, it even makes them
David Rothman's FACT - We lost
David not long ago. He was on the
cutting edge of ratings as well as
on the backs of the powers that be.
He was a good spokesman for
computer ratings. I would
personally like to thank Dr. Wolfe
right here in public for continuing
David's ratings. You be sure to
thank him, too.
Jeff Sagarin - You've probably
seen Jeff's ratings at one time or
another. If you've ever picked up a
USA Today and turned to the sports
section, you are probably
remembering them now. I didn't used
to like Jeff's ratings but over the
years he has fine-tuned them and
they are consistently among the
best. His ratings were what caused
me to move my own ratings to the
Internet once I got the chance. He
put into form what had previously
been rolling around in my head.
Ray Waits - Well, now, come on.
If my ratings weren't among my
favorites, what would be the point
of their existence? I actually have
three favorites to throw into the
mix. The first is another one of
those great discoveries that you
discover someone else beat you to -
well, sort of. There were a couple
of twists that make mine different.
Retrodictive Ratings are
maintained by one of the two
greatest computer ratings guys,
David Wilson. Even though my idea
was very similar to his, he humored
me and set my ratings up and ran
them all the way back to 1869. Now,
that's cool. You can see, however,
that his ratings and mine don't
pick the same champion every year.
The second of my own favorite
ratings are also maintained by
David Wilson and he is half-owner
of them. This rating system is the
Superlist and it is actually a
special formulaic combination of
nine excellent computer rating
systems. It does rather well on
Prediction Tracker, too. My
third favorite rating system is my
Predictive Ratings. This system
fine-tunes the teams' ratings
slightly each week to make them as
accurate as possible. And as an
added free toy for the numbers
aficionado, I also track the odds
makers and line the teams up
according to their predictions.
That's very revealing.
David Wilson's Performance
Ratings - Well, you knew this
list is in alphabetical order,
right? And you knew David was next,
right? These are the ratings that
are very similar to my Retrodictive
Ratings. Where mine start the
season with last season's results,
David's start the season from
scratch. It's fun to watch these
ratings that are so bizarre at the
first of the season (like Wes
Colley's) develop into something so
accurate and logical at the end of
the season. Besides his ratings and
a lot of other people's that he
posts, David has a lot of
college football including the
directory from which I made this
list. David is responsible for
helping a lot of people get their
ratings noticed. Even the king, the
other greatest computer ratings guy
on the Internet, Kenneth Massey,
owes a lot of his incredible
popularity to David Wilson.
This is certainly not an
extensive list. I may add some more
to it later but it is quite
sufficient for a beginner to use to
familiarize himself or herself with
Internet computer ratings. If you
can't find what you need with
what's on this page, you probably
won't find it.
In addition to noting David
Rothman's early departure, Herman
Matthews will not be with us this
season. I do not know the details
as he has not told me other than
that there are problems with his
health. Wish him well. I hope he
will be back. Another former rater
I would like to hear from is Eric
Packard. I still have his
interview. And whatever happened to
Flyman? I have found him on the
Internet but not his ratings. That
reminds me, I need to finish my
interview with Harry DeVold.
Unfortunately, I don't know if he
is able. We may just have to settle
for what we have. It was difficult
to corner him when he was healthy
because he was very busy.
One thing I have noticed is that
of more than 100 computer raters,
zero are women. How can that be?
Tell me I'm wrong. Please. My wife
is the sports fanatic of my family.
I'm trying to get her started.
There is a great injustice here.
How can an interest like rating
teams be 100% men? Tell me, please.
I must have missed somebody. Well,
now my wife does her own ratings,
so there's at least one. Check out
Ratings. She's coming back this
season and she's going to be more
careful than last season when her
spreadsheet got out of hand.