What Are the Best Systems?

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What Are the Best Systems?

That's debatable.

However, thanks to Todd Beck, who puts a lot of work into tracking such things, I have compiled a couple of lists that will give you a good idea - one for the NFL and one for NCAA Football.

To make the lists, I simply gave the winners for the most recent year a nine (since that's how many years Todd has been giving awards), the second most recent year an eight, etc. Since we're searching for which systems have done the best recently, that seems logical. The categories used are Straight-Up Winners for the season and for the second half, and Against the Spread for the season and for the second half.

Here is how the top fives for each sport came out:

NCAA

1. The Dr. Edward Kambour NCAA Football Ratings (31)
2. StatFox NCAA College Football Power Ratings (22)
3. System Average (17)
4. Nutshell Sports NCAA Middle Game Ratings (17)
5. Jeff Sagarin NCAA Football Ratings Overall (16)

NFL

1. Least Absolute Regression (27)
2. Vegas Line (20)
3. Nutshell Sports NFL Middle Game Ratings (16)
4. Beck ELO (10)
5. (tie) (9)

• Ken Ashby's AccuRatings
• JFM's NFL Ratings
• The Entropy System NFL Ratings
• Nutshell Girl NFL Ratings (her first season)

Wow. That gets me going. I and Nutshell Girl plan to do a little climbing this season (we hope). That Dr. Kambour is good. Six awards.

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